What are your chances of winning an unusual?

Discuss your favorite war-based hat simulator.

What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Keebles » Wed Aug 27, 2014 8:02 pm

Position - Individual Chance of Winning (%)
1-10 - 3.63%
11-25 - 1.81%
26-50 - 0.72%
51-100 - 0.36%

I'm no statistician. Just couldn't sleep last night. You may want to check my work.
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by DerKrieger105 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 9:33 pm

Watch no one in the Top 10 get one lmao
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Balubish » Wed Aug 27, 2014 9:55 pm

DerKrieger105 wrote:Watch no one in the Top 10 get one lmao


Yes the rules have always been like that. Cause 3 hats you cant be promised one right.
And the winning system is completely random, it can actually be 98,99 and 100 that get the unusuals.

Top 10 is only promised to win any item. But as Keebles nice number crunching shows its a slighty higher chance of it but still not promised to get an unusual.

Also keep in mind, many go away from this comp with nothing.
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Ron Swansons Stache » Mon Sep 01, 2014 11:52 am

Keebles wrote:Position - Individual Chance of Winning (%)
1-10 - 3.63%
11-25 - 1.81%
26-50 - 0.72%
51-100 - 0.36%

I'm no statistician. Just couldn't sleep last night. You may want to check my work.


I have a much better chance of winning one now than unboxing yay!

Anyone have any idea when the drawing is?
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Someone Special » Mon Sep 01, 2014 12:36 pm

Ron Swansons Stache wrote:
Keebles wrote:Position - Individual Chance of Winning (%)
1-10 - 3.63%
11-25 - 1.81%
26-50 - 0.72%
51-100 - 0.36%

I'm no statistician. Just couldn't sleep last night. You may want to check my work.


I have a much better chance of winning one now than unboxing yay!

Anyone have any idea when the drawing is?


Soon, I'd assume, since it is September.
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Balubish » Mon Sep 01, 2014 1:08 pm

Someone Special wrote:
Ron Swansons Stache wrote:
Keebles wrote:Position - Individual Chance of Winning (%)
1-10 - 3.63%
11-25 - 1.81%
26-50 - 0.72%
51-100 - 0.36%

I'm no statistician. Just couldn't sleep last night. You may want to check my work.


I have a much better chance of winning one now than unboxing yay!

Anyone have any idea when the drawing is?


Soon, I'd assume, since it is September.


Did they say what year though ;)
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by wintermute » Sun Oct 05, 2014 8:11 pm

Did this ever happen?
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by Balubish » Mon Oct 06, 2014 2:35 am

wintermute wrote:Did this ever happen?


What?
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by nicewithit » Mon Oct 06, 2014 10:53 am

wintermute wrote:Did this ever happen?


viewtopic.php?f=20&t=6917

You won: Platinum Pickelhaube STEAM_0:1:4577052 [U:1:9154105]
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Re: What are your chances of winning an unusual?

by wintermute » Sat Oct 11, 2014 7:26 pm

nicewithit wrote:
wintermute wrote:Did this ever happen?


viewtopic.php?f=20&t=6917

You won: Platinum Pickelhaube STEAM_0:1:4577052 [U:1:9154105]


Oh cool! Thanks!
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